🟨
Corpus Christi0-0Portland Hearts of Pine
Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

5'
K. Pennant⚽
Normal Goal β†’ A. Elliott-Wheeler
32'
J. J. Harris⚽
Normal Goal β†’ D. Ogbonna
46'
L. Simper⚽
Normal Goal β†’ J. Eccleston
50'
J. J. Harris⚽
Normal Goal
53'
J. Taylor🟨
Yellow Card
54'
D. Telford⚽
Normal Goal
56'
H. Muller🟨
Yellow Card
64'
D. Telford🟨
Yellow Card
65'
M. MelbourneπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ B. Williams
65'
K. HurstπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ H. Chapman
70'
K. RichardsonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ W. Flint
81'
K. CrichlowπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ E. Vaz
81'
J. J. HarrisπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ C. Bell
81'
H. MullerπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ A. Jones
85'
D. TelfordπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ F. Nouble
85'
H. ChapmanπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ C. Bone
90+8'
J. Taylor⚽
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd
Form: W-W-W-D-W
Gateshead
Gateshead
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Record
5 W
4 D
1 L
β€’
2 W
3 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.7
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:1.4

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1505
Average
1444
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1473
↓ Momentum (-32)
1345
↓ Momentum (-99)
Expected Outcome
40%
Home Win
32%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1512
Attack
1433
1459
Defence
1390
Recent Form
1529
Attack
1368
1413
Defence
1330
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Sutton's Attack vs Gateshead's Defense: Goals Expected
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%

This National League basement battle pits two sides level on 19 points, but their recent form tells dramatically different stories. Sutton Utd have been transformed in recent weeks, accumulating 19 points from their last 10 games at an impressive 1.90 points per game - double their season average. Their attacking output has been particularly explosive, netting 25 goals in that period (2.50 per game) with only one defeat in their last ten matches. The contrast with Gateshead couldn't be starker. The visitors have managed just 10 points from their last 10 games, struggling to find the net with only 9 goals scored (0.90 per game). Their recent form shows worrying trends, with four losses in their last six league matches and a concerning inability to score against decent opposition - they've been blanked in four of their last ten games. Sutton's home form provides further encouragement for goals. They're unbeaten in their last seven home matches, winning four and drawing three, while averaging 2.57 goals scored per game at their own ground. Their home games have been particularly entertaining, averaging over 4 total goals per game (2.57 scored, 1.57 conceded). Nine of their last ten matches overall have seen both teams score, highlighting their open, attacking approach. Gateshead's away record shows some resilience with two wins in their last five trips, but they've managed just 1.20 goals per game on the road. However, their defensive record away from home isn't terrible, conceding 1.40 per game. The key issue is their lack of attacking threat, having failed to score in 40% of their recent matches. The head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced (3-2-3), but their most recent encounter was a 7-goal thriller (3-4). Given Sutton's current attacking form and Gateshead's defensive vulnerabilities, another high-scoring affair looks likely. The betting market offers Over 2.5 goals at 1.50, which appears undervalued considering Sutton's recent games have gone over this mark in 9 out of 10 occasions. With Sutton averaging 2.50 goals per game recently and Gateshead conceding regularly, the goal expectancy of 3.38 total goals (1.99 + 1.39) seems conservative. Key Points: β€’ Sutton Utd have taken 19 points from their last 10 games (1.90 PPG) β€’ Sutton are scoring 2.50 goals per game in their last 10 matches β€’ 9 of Sutton's last 10 games have gone over 2.5 goals β€’ Sutton's home games average 4.14 total goals per game β€’ Gateshead have scored just 9 goals in their last 10 games (0.90 per game) β€’ Gateshead have failed to score in 4 of their last 10 matches β€’ Both teams have scored in 90% of Sutton's recent games β€’ Head-to-head record is balanced but last meeting ended 3-4 Given Sutton's explosive attacking form, their home advantage, and Gateshead's defensive struggles, the Over 2.5 goals market offers excellent value. The odds of 1.50 underestimate what should be a high-scoring encounter between a team in red-hot form and another struggling to keep clean sheets.

Read Full Preview β†’