Tuesday night National League action brings together two sides with contrasting fortunes as relegation-threatened Sutton Utd host mid-table Woking. With Sutton struggling for goals and Woking boasting one of the division's stingiest defences over the last ten games, the conditions are ripe for a tight, tactical encounter. Sutton Utd arrive in 21st position with just 29 points from 30 games, and their recent form makes for grim reading. The U's have managed just one victory in their last ten outings, collecting a paltry 0.70 points per game while scoring only five goals in that stretch. Their home record is particularly concerning with zero wins in their last five at Gander Green Lane, comprising three draws and two defeats. Looking at their recent scorelines paints a stark picture of their attacking struggles: goalless draws against Hartlepool and Aldershot Town, 1-0 home defeats to Braintree and Boston United, and a 1-1 stalemate with Brackley Town. With a meagre 0.60 goals per game at home and a declining goals trend, Sutton's inability to convert chances is becoming a chronic issue. Woking sit comfortably in 12th place with 38 points and arrive with significantly better momentum, having taken 1.50 points per game from their last ten matches. The Cards have built their recent success on defensive solidity, keeping five clean sheets in their last ten games and conceding just 0.80 goals per game on average. Their away form shows a split personality with two wins and two losses in their last four road trips, including a professional 2-0 victory at Truro City and a narrow 0-1 defeat at Wealdstone. While they've conceded 1.50 goals per game away from home, their overall defensive organisation has been impressive, particularly the 0-0 shutout against promotion-chasing Boreham Wood. The head-to-head record between these sides suggests tight, competitive affairs. Of their last eight meetings, only two have produced more than 2.5 goals, with the most recent encounter ending in a 1-1 draw back in September. Sutton's home record against Woking is particularly poor with just one win from four attempts. **Key Points:** • Sutton have scored just 5 goals in their last 10 games (0.50 per game) and failed to score in 5 of those matches • Woking have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games (50% clean sheet rate) • 8 of Sutton's last 10 matches have finished Under 2.5 goals • The last three H2H meetings have produced just 4 goals combined • Sutton have failed to win any of their last 5 home games (0% win rate) • Woking's away games have seen an average of just 2.0 goals per game recently **Summary:** Given Sutton's alarming goal drought and Woking's disciplined defensive approach, this has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring affair. The market has priced Over/Under 2.5 goals evenly at 1.90, but the underlying data strongly favours the unders. Sutton's inability to find the net at home, combined with Woking's tendency to keep things tight on the road, makes Under 2.5 Goals the clear value play at 1.90.