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Colombia1-0Congo DR
Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

32'
L. Britton
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare
Form: W-W-L-D-W
Horsham
Horsham
Form: D-L-W-L-L
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
2 W
1 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
0.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.9
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1557
Average
1495
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1561
↑ Momentum (+4)
1492
↓ Momentum (-3)
Expected Outcome
40%
Home Win
32%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1480
Attack
1466
1577
Defence
1560
Recent Form
1445
Attack
1453
1585
Defence
1576
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham: Betting Preview & Tip
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+20.0%
Confidence:7

Weston-super-Mare host Horsham in a National League South clash that looks poised for a defensive display. Weston enters the fixture with solid form, averaging 1.90 points per game over their last 10 matches, though their home win rate sits at 42.86%. More importantly for bettors, Weston has kept 40% clean sheets in their recent home fixtures, conceding just 1.00 goals per game on their own turf. The visitors, Horsham, present a stark contrast in attacking capability. Their away record is particularly concerning for the opposing defense, but even more so for their own offense. In their last four away games, Horsham has failed to score a single goal (0.00 goals per game). This scoring drought is a critical signal for the Both Teams To Score market. While Weston averages 0.86 goals at home, Horsham's inability to find the net away from home significantly increases the probability of a clean sheet for the hosts. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 2.35 goals (Weston 1.55, Horsham 0.80). However, the recent trend for Horsham is a complete lack of away goals. The market odds for Both Teams To Score - No are set at 2.00, implying a 50% probability. Given Horsham's 0.00 away scoring rate and Weston's 40% clean sheet rate at home, the true probability appears significantly higher, offering value. The head-to-head record shows a single 1-1 draw, but that was a home game for Weston; the current dynamic favors a shutout. Weston's recent home results include clean sheets against Enfield Town (1-0) and Hampton & Richmond (2-0). Horsham's recent away results include heavy defeats with no goals scored (0-2, 0-1, 0-2, 0-3). The data strongly points towards a match where only Weston finds the net, or potentially a 0-0 draw. Key Points: - Weston-super-Mare have a 40% clean sheet rate at home. - Horsham have scored 0 goals in their last 4 away games. - Goal expectancy favors a low-scoring affair (2.35 total). - Market odds for BTTS No offer value above the 6% edge threshold. **Recommendation:** The data supports a **Both Teams To Score - No** selection. With Horsham failing to score away and Weston capable of keeping clean sheets, this market presents the clearest value opportunity.

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