Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham Prediction - 14th April 2026

Weston-super-Mare host Horsham in a National League South clash that looks poised for a defensive display. Weston enters the fixture with solid form, averaging 1.90 points per game over their last 10 matches, though their home win rate sits at 42.86%. More importantly for bettors, Weston has kept 40% clean sheets in their recent home fixtures, conceding just 1.00 goals per game on their own turf. The visitors, Horsham, present a stark contrast in attacking capability. Their away record is particularly concerning for the opposing defense, but even more so for their own offense. In their last four away games, Horsham has failed to score a single goal (0.00 goals per game). This scoring drought is a critical signal for the Both Teams To Score market. While Weston averages 0.86 goals at home, Horsham's inability to find the net away from home significantly increases the probability of a clean sheet for the hosts. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 2.35 goals (Weston 1.55, Horsham 0.80). However, the recent trend for Horsham is a complete lack of away goals. The market odds for Both Teams To Score - No are set at 2.00, implying a 50% probability. Given Horsham's 0.00 away scoring rate and Weston's 40% clean sheet rate at home, the true probability appears significantly higher, offering value. The head-to-head record shows a single 1-1 draw, but that was a home game for Weston; the current dynamic favors a shutout. Weston's recent home results include clean sheets against Enfield Town (1-0) and Hampton & Richmond (2-0). Horsham's recent away results include heavy defeats with no goals scored (0-2, 0-1, 0-2, 0-3). The data strongly points towards a match where only Weston finds the net, or potentially a 0-0 draw. Key Points: - Weston-super-Mare have a 40% clean sheet rate at home. - Horsham have scored 0 goals in their last 4 away games. - Goal expectancy favors a low-scoring affair (2.35 total). - Market odds for BTTS No offer value above the 6% edge threshold. **Recommendation:** The data supports a **Both Teams To Score - No** selection. With Horsham failing to score away and Weston capable of keeping clean sheets, this market presents the clearest value opportunity.