⚽️
Cavalier2-2Arnett Gardens
Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

4'
K. Ferguson🟨
Yellow Card
27'
C. Dolan⚽
Normal Goal → L. Walker
39'
A. Boatswain🟨
Yellow Card
45+2'
M. Brogan🟨
Yellow Card
48'
B. Crompton🟨
Yellow Card
53'
R. Faakye🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Hall
53'
C. Stewart🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Brown
54'
L. Walker🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Moore
55'
Z. Brown🟨
Yellow Card
68'
R. Devine🟨
Yellow Card
77'
K. Ferguson🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Lewis-Burgess
80'
C. Harries🟨
Yellow Card
81'
J. Hiwula🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Supyk
85'
F. Issaka🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Eguaibor
89'
J. Home🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
L. Giles🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Hargreaves

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers
Form: W-W-D-W-D
Gateshead
Gateshead
Form: L-L-D-L-L
Record
6 W
3 D
1 L
•
1 W
2 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
0.8
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
1.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:3.4
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Kidderminster Harriers versus Gateshead: long term ELO, before the match
Kidderminster HarriersHomeRatingGatesheadAway
Strength
1,507.2Overall1,420.8
1,450.1Match venue1,439.8
1,450.1At home1,464
1,485.5Away1,439.8
Attack & defence
1,422.3Attack1,396.7
1,557Defence1,451.7
1,379Home attack1,435.8
1,449.9Away attack1,433.2
1,556.4Home defence1,474.3
1,521.1Away defence1,439.4
Match profile
1,526.7Goal environment1,931.7
1,535Home goals1,720
1,491.7Away goals1,711.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,477.3Close games1,512.2
1,516Winning margin1,391.7

Match venue compares Kidderminster Harriers at home with Gateshead away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Kidderminster Harriers to Dominate Struggling Gateshead
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+38.4%
Confidence:8

Kidderminster Harriers are currently enjoying a fantastic start to the 2026 season, slotting into 4th place in the National League table. Their consistency is the hallmark of their campaign so far, boasting a 60% win rate over their last 10 fixtures and a remarkably disciplined defense that concedes just 0.70 goals per game on average. Their ability to maintain a solid structure while remaining productive in attack makes them one of the most balanced sides in the division right now. In stark contrast, Gateshead is currently enduring a nightmare campaign. Sitting 23rd in the table, they have managed only a single victory in their last 10 outings. Their away form is particularly concerning; they have failed to secure a single win, draw, or even a point in their last five road trips. With a goal difference of -11 and a tendency to concede nearly 2 goals per game on the road (1.90), the visitors appear to be in a state of crisis and lack the defensive organization required to handle a top-five opponent. While historical head-to-head data shows Gateshead having the upper hand in previous years, the current season's data tells a completely different story. Kidderminster's ability to grind out results, combined with Gateshead's inability to find the net or keep a clean sheet away from home, makes the Harriers the heavy favorites. The goal expectancy of 1.80 for the home side versus 0.50 for the visitors aligns with a controlled, dominant performance from the hosts. Expect Kidderminster to control the tempo from the opening whistle, utilizing their defensive organization to frustrate a Gateshead side that lacks the confidence and clinical edge to produce an upset. The disparity in league position and recent away form provides a significant cushion for a home victory. Key Points: - Kidderminster Harriers are in 4th place, while Gateshead are in 23rd. - Gateshead have a 0% win rate in their last 5 away matches. - Kidderminster's defense is one of the league's most reliable, conceding only 0.70 goals per game. - Gateshead struggle significantly for goals on the road, averaging just 0.60 per game. - Kidderminster have not lost in their last 5 home matches. Summary: Given the massive gulf in league standings and Gateshead's winless away run, Kidderminster Harriers are poised for a comfortable home victory. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

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