🟨
Dorados2-1Tapatío
Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 13:00
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
1:1
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

19'
Rachid Kouda🟨
Yellow Card
31'
F. Ruocco
Normal Goal
46'
A. David🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Frabotta
46'
V. Vlahovic🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Gliozzi
55'
X. Druiventak🔄
Substitution 2 → L. D'Andrea
58'
L. Ignacchiti🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Wieser
58'
R. Ilie🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Bragantini
68'
M. Dalla Vecchia🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Debenedetti
76'
R. Kouda🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Del Lungo
76'
A. Castellini🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Paoletti
77'
C. Shpendi
Normal Goal → L. D'Andrea
80'
M. Ilic🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Mangraviti
80'
A. Fiori🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Guidi

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal3
19Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox6
10Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls9
10Corner Kicks4
4Offsides0
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
630Total passes314
551Passes accurate239
87Passes %76
1.27expected_goals0.43
0.53goals_prevented0.53

Starting Lineups

CesenaCesena1:1

Starting XI

1A. SianoG
3A. DavidD
27M. Dalla VecchiaM
80A. FioriF
4J. GelliD
10R. PaganoM
9C. ShpendiF
6M. IlicD
25D. BisoliM
14X. DruiventakF
15A. CiofiD

MantovaMantova1:1

Starting XI

22F. BardiG
27A. CastelliniD
50F. Benaissa-YahiaM
19F. RuoccoF
99V. VlahovicF
29S. CellaD
80R. KoudaM
8R. IlieF
5B. TomasevicD
25L. IgnacchitiM
41J. SilvaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Cesena
Cesena
Form: W-D-L-D-W
Mantova
Mantova
Form: L-W-W-W-L
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
7 W
0 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
2.4
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1505
Average
1543
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1459
↓ Momentum (-46)
1581
↑ Momentum (+38)
Expected Outcome
30%
Home Win
33%
Draw
37%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1505
Attack
1519
1496
Defence
1521
Recent Form
1515
Attack
1557
1472
Defence
1535
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Cesena vs Mantova | Serie B Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+36.0%
Confidence:8

Cesena faces a high-flying Mantova in this Serie B clash, a match that promises to be a goal-rich encounter based on both historical trends and current offensive output. Mantova enters the fixture in scintillating form, having secured 7 wins in their last 10 matches. Their attacking prowess has been a standout feature, averaging a remarkable 2.40 goals per game over that period, including a dominant 3-1 victory over Empoli and a 2-0 win against Lazio in the Coppa Italia. While Cesena has had a more measured start to the season, they remain a potent threat when playing at home. They have managed to find the back of the net 2.00 times per game in their home fixtures this campaign. However, their defensive record has shown some inconsistency, and they face a Mantova side that, despite a heavy 5-2 defeat in their last cup outing, continues to produce high-scoring games. Mantova's away form is also noteworthy, with a 66.67% win rate and a consistent scoring average of 2.00 goals per game on the road. The most compelling evidence for a high-scoring game lies in the head-to-head history. In their previous 10 meetings, 90% of the matches have resulted in Over 2.5 goals. This historical trend is mirrored by the current goal expectancies, which provide a combined $\lambda$ of 3.50 (Home 2.00, Away 1.50). When you combine Mantova's prolific scoring rate with Cesena's ability to produce goals at home and a historical trend that heavily favors multiple goals, the value on the Over 2.5 Goals market becomes clear. Although Mantova will be slightly more fatigued with only 3 days of rest compared to Cesena's 8, their momentum and clinical finishing are expected to keep the game open. The statistics suggest a high-octane affair where both sides are likely to find the net multiple times. Key Points: - Mantova has won 70% of their last 10 matches. - 90% of the historical head-to-head meetings between these two teams have seen Over 2.5 goals. - Mantova averages 2.40 goals per game in their last 10 fixtures. - Cesena averages 2.00 goals scored per game at home. - The combined goal expectancy ($\lambda$) for this fixture is 3.50. The data strongly supports a high-scoring game, making Over 2.5 Goals the most viable selection.

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