⚽️
Kettering Town1-2Worcester City
Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 11:00
Ykkönen
Finland
Finland
Full Time
1:1
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

5'
M. Ajoung🟨
Yellow Card
20'
J. Koistinen⚽
Normal Goal
29'
K. Isometsa🟨
Yellow Card
29'
M. Ajoung🟨
Yellow Card
29'
M. Ajoung🟥
Red Card
35'
F. Heiserholt🟨
Yellow Card
46'
L. Teppo🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Niemela
46'
O. Parkkila🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Omotayo
59'
K. Isometsa🟨
Yellow Card
59'
K. Isometsa🟥
Red Card
65'
J. Makelainen🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Lamsa
69'
A. Savolainen🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Vatanen
69'
T. Listo🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Korhonen
79'
J. Koistinen🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Katermaa
79'
A. Aapajarvi🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Arvola
79'
E. Merikanto🔄
Substitution 5 → C. S. Thomas
85'
F. Heiserholt🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Katermaa
85'
A. Mekki🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Niska
90'
M. Korhonen🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
J. Korhonen⚽
Normal Goal
90+2'
J. Lotvonen🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rops
Rops
Form: W-L-D-W-D
OLS
OLS
Form: W-L-D-D-W
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
•
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
100%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.5

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Rops versus OLS: long term ELO, before the match
RopsHomeRatingOLSAway
Strength
1,551.6Overall1,543.2
1,590.9Match venue1,482.1
1,590.9At home1,609.4
1,495Away1,482.1
Attack & defence
1,542.2Attack1,562.9
1,505.9Defence1,488
1,562.7Home attack1,605.9
1,499Away attack1,501.6
1,536.5Home defence1,511.5
1,485.1Away defence1,494
Match profile
1,780Goal environment1,740
1,658.3Home goals1,668.3
1,621.7Away goals1,571.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,526.9Close games1,535.8
1,550Winning margin1,540

Match venue compares Rops at home with OLS away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Rops vs OLS: Home Fortress Meets Road Struggles
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+21.1%
Confidence:8

The Ykkönen continues with a high-stakes encounter as Rops host OLS in a matchup that pits one of the league's most reliable home sides against a team struggling to find consistency on the road. Rops currently sit in 2nd place in the standings, trailing the leaders by only 4 points, and they have built that position on a foundation of strong home performances. Over their last five home fixtures, Rops have maintained an impressive 80% win rate, scoring a robust 2.80 goals per game while conceding just 1.20. OLS, meanwhile, occupy 5th place and face a daunting task. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with a 0% win rate across their last four away matches. Furthermore, OLS has failed to record a single clean sheet in their last 10 games, highlighting a defensive vulnerability that Rops are well-equipped to exploit. While OLS has shown they can compete—evidenced by their recent 2-1 victory over Tampere United—their defensive record of conceding 2.50 goals per game on the road suggests they may struggle to contain Rops' offensive output. Head-to-head history provides a glimpse into the goal-heavy nature of this fixture. The most recent meeting between these two ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw, and historical data shows that 60% of their encounters have surpassed the 2.5 goals mark. With Rops' home goal expectancy sitting at 2.65 and OLS's away goal expectancy at 1.35, the narrative points toward a Rops victory. Rops' ability to find the net at home, combined with OLS's inability to keep a clean sheet, creates a compelling case for a home win. While the odds for a Rops victory at 1.73 are not massive, they represent significant value given the disparity in home/away form and the fact that OLS has failed to secure an away win in their most recent outings. Rops' 80% home win rate is a primary signal, and OLS's 0% away win rate provides the necessary confirmation for this selection. Key Points: - Rops boasts an 80% win rate in their last 5 home games. - OLS has a 0% win rate in their last 4 away matches. - OLS has failed to record a clean sheet in their last 10 matches. - Rops averages 2.80 goals per game at home. - The last head-to-head meeting between the two sides ended in a 3-3 draw. The data strongly favors a home victory for Rops given the stark contrast in venue performance. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

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