🟨
Rot-Weiß Essen3-2Würzburger Kickers
Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 11:00
Ykkönen
Finland
Finland
Full Time
1:1
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

5'
M. Ajoung🟨
Yellow Card
20'
J. Koistinen
Normal Goal
29'
M. Ajoung🟥
Red Card
29'
K. Isometsa🟨
Yellow Card
29'
M. Ajoung🟨
Yellow Card
35'
F. Heiserholt🟨
Yellow Card
46'
L. Teppo🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Niemela
46'
O. Parkkila🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Omotayo
59'
K. Isometsa🟥
Red Card
59'
K. Isometsa🟨
Yellow Card
65'
J. Makelainen🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Lamsa
69'
A. Savolainen🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Vatanen
69'
T. Listo🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Korhonen
79'
E. Merikanto🔄
Substitution 5 → C. S. Thomas
79'
J. Koistinen🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Katermaa
79'
A. Aapajarvi🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Arvola
85'
F. Heiserholt🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Katermaa
85'
A. Mekki🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Niska
90+1'
Unknown Player
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
1.89
Pinnacle
Draw
4.00
Betfair
Away
3.52
1xBet
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.36
Bet365
Under 2.5
3.30
Betfair
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.36
William Hill
No
3.20
Betfair

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rops
Rops
Form: W-L-D-W-D
OLS
OLS
Form: W-L-D-D-W
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
100%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1594
Average
1612
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1640
↑ Momentum (+46)
1647
↑ Momentum (+35)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1564
Attack
1607
1508
Defence
1490
Recent Form
1579
Attack
1629
1499
Defence
1453
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Rops vs OLS: Home Fortress Meets Road Struggles
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+21.1%
Confidence:8

The Ykkönen continues with a high-stakes encounter as Rops host OLS in a matchup that pits one of the league's most reliable home sides against a team struggling to find consistency on the road. Rops currently sit in 2nd place in the standings, trailing the leaders by only 4 points, and they have built that position on a foundation of strong home performances. Over their last five home fixtures, Rops have maintained an impressive 80% win rate, scoring a robust 2.80 goals per game while conceding just 1.20. OLS, meanwhile, occupy 5th place and face a daunting task. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with a 0% win rate across their last four away matches. Furthermore, OLS has failed to record a single clean sheet in their last 10 games, highlighting a defensive vulnerability that Rops are well-equipped to exploit. While OLS has shown they can compete—evidenced by their recent 2-1 victory over Tampere United—their defensive record of conceding 2.50 goals per game on the road suggests they may struggle to contain Rops' offensive output. Head-to-head history provides a glimpse into the goal-heavy nature of this fixture. The most recent meeting between these two ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw, and historical data shows that 60% of their encounters have surpassed the 2.5 goals mark. With Rops' home goal expectancy sitting at 2.65 and OLS's away goal expectancy at 1.35, the narrative points toward a Rops victory. Rops' ability to find the net at home, combined with OLS's inability to keep a clean sheet, creates a compelling case for a home win. While the odds for a Rops victory at 1.73 are not massive, they represent significant value given the disparity in home/away form and the fact that OLS has failed to secure an away win in their most recent outings. Rops' 80% home win rate is a primary signal, and OLS's 0% away win rate provides the necessary confirmation for this selection. Key Points: - Rops boasts an 80% win rate in their last 5 home games. - OLS has a 0% win rate in their last 4 away matches. - OLS has failed to record a clean sheet in their last 10 matches. - Rops averages 2.80 goals per game at home. - The last head-to-head meeting between the two sides ended in a 3-3 draw. The data strongly favors a home victory for Rops given the stark contrast in venue performance. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

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