Swansea City vs Cardiff City - 16/03/24 | Fast live stats

Swansea City vs Cardiff City Prediction & Preview

Preview

This Saturday, 16th March, the Swansea.com Stadium sets the stage for a thrilling encounter in the 38th round of the England Championship as Swansea City lock horns with Cardiff City at 12:30. This match holds more than just three points at stake; it's a battle for bragging rights in one of the fiercest derbies in Welsh football. Swansea, under the guidance of Luke Williams, aim to leverage their home advantage and overturn their recent defeat against Cardiff. Erol Bulut's Cardiff City, on the other hand, arrives with confidence, having bested Swansea 2-0 in their last head-to-head encounter at the Cardiff City Stadium on 16/09/2023.

Looking at recent form, Swansea's journey has been a mix of highs and lows, securing 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, including a narrow 1-0 defeat against Bristol City away at Ashton Gate Stadium. Cardiff City, showing a stronger form with 4 wins and a single loss, including a recent 2-1 victory over Ipswich Town at home, sits higher in the Championship standings, at 11th with 53 points, compared to Swansea's 15th position with 43 points.

The stats paint an interesting picture; Swansea scores an average of 0.8 goals per game, slightly less than Cardiff's 0.9. However, Swansea's defensive concerns are highlighted by their average of 1.9 goals conceded per game, in stark contrast to Cardiff's more robust 1.3. Moreover, when playing at home, Swansea averages 0.75 goals for and 2 goals against per game, suggesting a vulnerability that Cardiff, with their average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded while away, will be eager to exploit.

Bet

Considering the teams' current form, defensive records, and the historical context of their encounters, the match presents a finely balanced betting landscape. Swansea City, despite being the bookmakers' favorites with odds of 2.05 for a home win, shows vulnerability at the back, particularly at home. Cardiff City, with their recent form and the odds of 3.8 for an away win, presents a tempting proposition. However, the most compelling bet appears to be under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.7, reflecting both teams' relatively low scoring rates and tight defenses, especially in high-stakes matches like this derby.