Northampton Town vs Exeter City - 20/04/24 | Fast live stats

Northampton Town vs Exeter City Prediction & Preview

Preview

As the League One season nears its climax, Northampton Town welcome Exeter City to Sixfields Stadium this Saturday. With only one point separating the two sides, Northampton in 11th place with 59 points and Exeter just behind in 13th with 58 points, this match promises not just mid-table rivalry but also crucial points as both teams aim for a strong finish.

Looking at their recent forms, Northampton has secured three wins in their last five matches but suffered a setback with a 2-0 loss against Fleetwood Town in their previous outing. On the other hand, Exeter City seems to have hit a sweet spot; unbeaten in their last five games and coming off an impressive 4-2 victory over Port Vale.

Historically, Northampton holds a significant advantage over Exeter. They've won four of their last five head-to-head encounters, including a comfortable 2-0 victory at St James Park earlier this season on September 30th. This dominance could play into the psychological aspect of Saturday’s game.

In terms of scoring prowess when playing away from home this season, Exeter averages an impressive 2.4 goals per match compared to Northampton’s home average of scoring only1.2 goals per game but conceding very few (0.4 goals per game). This sets up an intriguing battle between Northampton's solid defense at home and Exeter's potent attack on the road.

Bet

Considering both team's current form and historical performances against each other as well as how they perform under specific circumstances like being at home or away - making betting choices becomes quite nuanced here. The odds are slightly leaning towards a home win for Northampton (2.6) over an away win for Exeter (2.7), reflecting perhaps that slight edge historical data gives them despite recent form suggesting closely matched capabilities.

However examining goal stats more closely — particularly that high average number of goals scored by Exeter when playing away (2.4 per game) against how few are conceded by Northampton at home (0.4 per game) — suggests potential for multiple goals being scored here despite what might seem like contradictory indicators from each team’s defensive strengths.

Given these considerations coupled with attractive odds offered by bookmakers; my recommended bet would be Over 2.5 goals priced at @odds, which offers good value while acknowledging both teams’ capacity to exceed expectations when it comes to goal-scoring scenarios especially given what is likely to be open play influenced by league positions so late in the season.