1. Deild
Grindavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Prediction - 13th August 2026
Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:00Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.70
Implied Probability
58.8%
Expected Value
+5%
Grindavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Preview & Betting Tips
Analysis
Grindavik host Throttur Reykjavik in a crucial 1. Deild clash on August 13th. The home side sits in 10th place with 17 points from 17 games, while Throttur Reykjavik sits firmly in 2nd place with 34 points. The disparity in form and quality is stark, and the recent statistical trends heavily favor the visitors.
Grindavik's home form has been exceptionally difficult. In their last five home fixtures, they have managed just one win, three draws, and one loss. More alarmingly, their attack has completely stalled at home, averaging a mere 0.20 goals per game over that span. They have failed to find the net in three of those five home matches, including consecutive 0-0 draws against Vestri and Ægir. Their only home victory in that stretch came against Leiknir R. by a 1-0 scoreline. Defensively, they have been more resilient at home, conceding just 0.20 goals per game, but their inability to score limits them to grinding out low-scoring draws or narrow defeats.
Throttur Reykjavik, on the other hand, is in scintillating form. They have won six of their last ten matches, collecting 2.10 points per game. Their away record is particularly impressive, with a 50% win rate in their last six trips on the road. Throttur averages 2.17 goals scored per away game while conceding just 1.00. They have demonstrated the ability to dismantle top-tier opposition, notably securing a dominant 4-1 victory over league leaders Afturelding and a 5-1 thrashing of Leiknir R. in recent outings. Their attacking momentum is clear, and they pose a constant threat whenever they travel.
The head-to-head record further supports a visitor victory. Throttur Reykjavik has won six of the ten historical meetings between these sides, with Grindavik taking just three. The last meeting saw Throttur secure a comfortable 2-0 away win. Historically, matches between these two tend to be high-scoring affairs, with Over 2.5 Goals hitting in eight of the ten encounters and Both Teams to Score landing in seven. However, Grindavik's current home goal drought suggests they may struggle to break down Throttur's organized defense, which has kept a clean sheet in only two of their last ten games but concedes at a respectable 1.00 per away match.
Looking at the betting markets, Throttur Reykjavik is priced at 1.70 to win. Given their superior attacking output, strong away form, and Grindavik's persistent home scoring struggles, the value lies on the away side. The odds reflect a clear favorite, but Throttur's recent performances against high-quality opponents justify the confidence. While Over 2.5 Goals is available at 1.38, the odds are too short to offer meaningful value given Grindavik's defensive home solidity. The Away Win at 1.70 provides a solid probability of success backed by multiple confirmatory signals.
Key Points:
- Grindavik averages just 0.20 goals scored per home game in their last five matches.
- Throttur Reykjavik has won six of their last ten games, including impressive away victories over Afturelding and Leiknir R.
- Throttur averages 2.17 goals scored per away game while conceding 1.00.
- Throttur has won six of the ten historical head-to-head meetings.
- Grindavik's home win rate stands at 20.00% over their last five fixtures.
Recommended Bet: Throttur Reykjavik to Win at 1.70 odds. This selection is backed by Throttur's strong away form, superior league position, and Grindavik's persistent home scoring drought.